Jul 16, 2026 – 4.18pmPremier Jacinta Allan and deputy Ben Carroll would be turfed out of the Victorian parliament and Labor would lose a swag of Melbourne seats near the Suburban Rail Loop project if the state election were held today.One Nation would pick up eight seats from Labor and four from the Coalition, and the Allan government would lose 15 seats to the Coalition, according to a Redbridge large-scale analysis of voter intentions commissioned by the Victorian Trades Hall Council.Subscribe to gift this articleGift 5 articles to anyone you choose each month when you subscribe.Subscribe nowAlready a subscriber? Fetching latest articles