The 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal between France and Spain is set for July 14 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, with a 3 p.m. ET kickoff. The combined squad valuation for this single semifinal exceeds $3.2 billion, making it arguably the most expensive 90 minutes of football ever played.

Platforms like Polymarket and Azuro are reporting increased wager volumes tied to match outcomes, a trend that’s been building throughout the expanded 48-team tournament. For crypto markets, that kind of attention is fuel.

Decentralized prediction markets flip the traditional model. Polymarket lets users wager on binary outcomes using crypto, while Azuro operates as a decentralized liquidity layer for sports betting apps built on-chain. The France-Spain semifinal, featuring Kylian Mbappe on one side and teenage sensation Lamine Yamal on the other, is exactly the kind of high-profile, emotionally charged matchup that drives speculative volume.

Polymarket broke through during the 2024 US presidential election cycle, proving that decentralized markets could attract real liquidity and often produce more accurate forecasts than traditional polls. The World Cup is a natural next frontier, with a global audience that dwarfs any single national election.