https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/20/football/gallery/world-cup-2022
Opta’s supercomputer has calculated the probabilities of World Cup semifinalists advancing, placing France as the top contender with a 34.05% chance to win the tournament. Spain follows with a 23.45% probability, while England and Argentina are given 21.94% and 20.55% chances respectively. France is set to face Spain in the semifinals on July 14, 2026, where they have a 57.7% probability of victory, according to the supercomputer. In the other semifinal, scheduled for July 15, England edges Argentina with a 50.9% chance of progression to the final. The current standing of these teams and probabilities appears to influence market sentiment on France’s possible elimination.
Key Takeaways
The Opta supercomputer suggests France has the highest probability among semifinalists to win the World Cup.
Market pricing indicates a decreased likelihood of France’s elimination, consistent with Opta’s predictions.
