https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-888831
The UK government has announced plans to outlaw any support for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) under the newly enacted National Security (State Threats) Act 2026. This legislation provides the Home Secretary with the authority to classify the IRGC as a hostile foreign organization, thereby criminalizing support for the group with penalties that could include up to 14 years in prison. The new law does not automatically impose a ban but allows for such a designation if certain threats, such as cyber attacks or sabotage, are identified. This development comes after the European Union’s prior designation of the IRGC as a terrorist organization and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s commitment to proscribe the group by July 2026.
The announcement appears to have implications for Iran’s internal political stability, particularly concerning the potential departure of President Masoud Pezeshkian. The market for Pezeshkian’s departure by December 31 currently values the likelihood of this scenario at 17.5% YES, showing little change over the past week. This market measures potential shifts in Iran’s political landscape in response to international actions against the IRGC and broader geopolitical tensions.
