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The Department of Justice (DOJ) is intensifying efforts against alleged noncitizen voting as it prepares for the upcoming November 2026 midterm elections. Under the leadership of Assistant Attorney General Harmeet Dhillon, the DOJ has issued warnings to all states and Washington, D.C. to ensure noncitizens are not on voter rolls or casting ballots. This move follows claims of mounting evidence of such occurrences. Despite these claims, historical data and audits indicate that verified cases of noncitizen voting have been extremely rare, often attributed to errors or misinformation during registration processes.
This development could potentially impact the political landscape ahead of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election. Markets have shown a reaction, with pricing suggesting a decrease in perceived election integrity, which might affect candidates associated with the current administration. Eric Trump’s chances, as reflected in prediction markets, appear to be under pressure with this news.
Prices in the prediction markets have reacted notably to this development. The “Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” market has seen a decrease in YES probability, with the current level standing at approximately 0.5%, a drop from 1% just 24 hours prior.
