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What did the arbitral tribunal’s award actually achieve?
In this photo issued by the Philippine Coast Guard, a China Coast Guard vessel fires a water cannon at a Philippines supply ship in the vicinity of Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea, December 10, 2023.
At any moment in the middle of the South China Sea, a literal war could break out. High-pressure water cannons, naval ramming, and high-seas brawls have already become common — and a much bigger conflict is just one mistake away.
But it didn’t have to be this way.
