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Real Madrid have expressed their belief that either Kylian Mbappé or Jude Bellingham should secure the 2026 Ballon d’Or, should they lead their respective teams to World Cup victory. This statement underscores the importance the club places on World Cup success as a decisive factor in the Ballon d’Or race. Currently, Mbappé is viewed as a strong contender, especially after France’s performance in the tournament, while Bellingham remains a frontrunner with his impressive goal-scoring record for England. The market appears to be reacting to these developments, with Mbappé’s odds moving upwards in recent days.
Mbappé’s probability of winning the Ballon d’Or currently stands at 32.5% in prediction markets, reflecting a steady increase from 26% a week ago. This change suggests that market participants view his World Cup performance as increasingly influential. Meanwhile, Bellingham’s chances are considered less likely, yet his standing could improve significantly if England progresses further in the tournament. Real Madrid’s endorsement may add weight to both players’ candidacies, though it remains speculative.
The outcome of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is increasingly seen as a key variable in determining the Ballon d’Or winner. Mbappé’s performance has notably shifted market sentiment, and continued success in the tournament could further enhance his competitive position as a leading candidate for the prestigious award.
