In a surprising development in Israeli politics, the Yashar Party led by Gadi Eisenkot has surpassed Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud Party in a Channel 13 poll for the first time. This marks a significant shift in the dynamics of the upcoming 2026 legislative elections. Eisenkot, a former IDF Chief of Staff, is emerging as a formidable challenger to Netanyahu. The poll results come amid growing dissatisfaction with Netanyahu’s handling of the Lebanon conflict and a decrease in Likud’s support, particularly in northern Israel. This development has also impacted prediction markets, where Eisenkot’s chances of becoming the next Prime Minister are now priced at 40%.
Key Takeaways
The new poll suggests that Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar Party has gained a lead over Netanyahu’s Likud for the first time.
Market pricing indicates a shift in sentiment against Netanyahu’s likelihood of remaining Prime Minister, consistent with reduced support for Likud.
Eisenkot’s chances of becoming the next Prime Minister are reflected in prediction markets, with a 40% probability.
