OpenAI proposes 5% stake to US government amid IPO delay considerations

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Kalshi market participants are pricing a 24% chance that the U.S. government will take a stake in OpenAI this year. This reflects slim odds despite OpenAI’s proposal to grant a 5% equity stake to Washington, valued at approximately $42.6 billion. The proposal, presented by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, aims to alleviate regulatory concerns and establish a sovereign wealth fund similar to the Alaska Permanent Fund. The current valuation of OpenAI stands at $852 billion, following a significant funding round in March 2026. While the company has filed for an IPO, it is considering postponing its public debut to 2027 to potentially reach a $1 trillion valuation.

Key Takeaways

Kalshi market data suggests a 24% chance of U.S. government investment in OpenAI this year.

OpenAI’s proposal to the U.S. government includes a 5% stake to mitigate regulatory scrutiny.