Le Pen faces crucial EU fraud appeal verdict, Bardella poised for 2027 run

https://www.newsweek.com/topic/marine-le-pen

A pivotal decision looms for France’s far-right Rassemblement National as Marine Le Pen faces a crucial verdict from the Paris Court of Appeal. The court’s decision, expected today, will determine whether Le Pen’s EU fraud conviction is upheld, likely barring her from the 2027 presidential race. If the five-year ban from public office remains, Jordan Bardella, who has led the RN since 2022, is poised to become the party’s candidate for the presidential election. Current polling suggests Bardella is slightly ahead in first-round support, indicating a shift in dynamics within the party.

Key Takeaways

The outcome of Marine Le Pen’s appeal may significantly impact her eligibility for the 2027 presidential run.

Pricing suggests a substantial decrease in Le Pen’s chances of winning, with her probability priced at approximately 8% YES.