https://time.com/article/2026/05/20/graham-platner-profile/
Democratic Party leaders have called on Graham Platner to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race in Maine following media reports of a sexual assault allegation against him. The accusation, made by Jenny Racicot, claims that Platner forcibly engaged in sexual acts with her nearly five years ago. Platner has denied these allegations, describing them as “categorically false,” but the controversy has led him to reassess his campaign prospects. This development comes as Platner’s support within his party diminishes, with key endorsements being rescinded and his lead in polls over Republican incumbent Susan Collins narrowing.
Prediction markets have reacted to these developments with a sharp increase in the probability of Platner withdrawing from the race. The likelihood of his withdrawal by November 2, 2026, has surged dramatically from 8% to 95.8% in the past 24 hours. Similar increases are observed for earlier dates, with markets pricing a 94.2% probability of withdrawal by July 17, 2026. This significant shift suggests that market participants view Platner’s exit as increasingly likely, aligning with formal calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down.
