France is through to the quarter-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Les Bleus dispatched Paraguay 1-0 on July 4.

The numbers behind the noise

France enters the quarter-finals carrying betting odds of around +185 to lift the trophy, placing them among the tournament favorites alongside Spain.

Polymarket and Kalshi have together recorded over $2 billion in volume on World Cup winner bets. France and Spain are sharing the top spot in those markets. Morocco, who advanced with a convincing 3-0 win over Canada, represents one of those credible threats and could meet France in the quarter-finals.

Kraken, FIFA, and the mainstreaming moment