100 Thieves squeaked past BBL Esports 14-12 on Lotus during the Valorant segment of the 2026 Esports World Cup in Paris on July 4. A two-round margin on a map that went to 26 total rounds. Not exactly a blowout.
The match and the market around it
100 Thieves entered the contest ranked roughly 15th in the world, facing a BBL squad sitting around 26th. Pre-match implied probability on prediction platforms pegged the North American roster as favorites at approximately 62%.
What made it interesting was how close BBL came to flipping the script. A 14-12 scoreline on Lotus means both teams were trading rounds deep into overtime territory. For anyone with money riding on the outcome through Polymarket, Coinbase Predictions, or Kalshi, those final rounds were anything but boring.
100 Thieves had already picked up a win against RRQ earlier in the event, so they came in with some momentum.
