Amid persistent inflation, the US Federal Reserve may consider aggressive rate hikes, with a potential 50 bps increase likely influencing volatility in the Indian stock market.
CME FedWatch tool now shows a 54% chance of a September rate hike
Jul 03, 2026
03:47 pm
What's the storyThe recent softer-than-expected jobs data in the US has led to fluctuating expectations for interest rate hikes this year.
Just last week, traders were betting on at least three rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, with the first one in September. However, the latest data has changed these projections.
US Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady at its July meeting despite inflation hitting a three-year high. Markets see…
Traders in the futures market shifted the probability of a rate increase by the end of 2026 to 52% on Friday morning.
CME FedWatch data shows a 45% probability of a Fed rate hike at the September FOMC meeting, with sticky 4.2% inflation battling…
Fed rate bets swing toward a September pause, but CME's Fedwatch tool still prices a 44.4% chance of another quarter-point hike.
Volatile job numbers, stubborn inflation and changes to the Fed’s communications style are all stirring up uncertainty in markets…
Fed rate hike unlikely this week amid low expectations. Rate hike by July 2026 at 24.2% YES, September 2026 at 69.5% YES, October…
