A new United Nations Group of Experts report paints the clearest picture yet of the AFC/M23’s military strength and political ambitions in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, while highlighting the movement’s increasingly close ties with former President Joseph Kabila. The report suggests that this evolving relationship could culminate in a major restructuring of the rebel alliance, even as fighting continues across North and South Kivu.
Former President Joseph Kabila has become an increasingly prominent figure in the AFC/M23's political trajectory, according to the UN Group of Experts. Investigators say Kabila has visited territories under the movement's control since May 2025 and held meetings with its leadership, underscoring what the report describes as a growing political association.
The experts cite multiple sources indicating that discussions are underway to fundamentally restructure the movement, including the possibility of adopting a new name. The reported changes reflect an effort to broaden the alliance's political appeal while reinforcing its long-term ambitions in eastern DRC.
UN estimates AFC/M23 force at 30,000 fighters
The report estimates the AFC/M23 now commands around 30,000 fighters, making it one of the largest armed movements operating in the eastern DRC.
