Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has vowed to eliminate anyone involved in the October 7, 2023, attack by Hamas and declared that a Palestinian state will not be established in Israel. This statement comes amid ongoing tensions and military actions following a formal ceasefire announced in October 2025. Despite the ceasefire, Israeli military operations have continued, suggesting an escalation in the conflict. Netanyahu’s stance further complicates the prospects for a peaceful resolution and impacts geopolitical dynamics in the region.
Key Takeaways
Netanyahu’s promise to prevent a Palestinian state appears to reduce the likelihood of US recognition of Palestine before 2027.
Market pricing reflects a significant decrease in confidence for a US recognition scenario, with YES odds on this outcome dropping notably.
Netanyahu’s declaration may indicate a hardened Israeli policy stance, affecting related geopolitical markets.








