South American football teams have won five of their seven matches against European opponents in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage. The record stands at 5-1-1, a lopsided result that has crypto prediction markets scrambling to reconcile on-field dominance with pre-tournament assumptions.

Despite that commanding record, Polymarket still prices Europe at 68.5% to win the tournament. South America sits at 25.5%.

The results speak for themselves

Argentina dispatched Austria 2-0. Brazil steamrolled Scotland 3-0. Ecuador stunned Germany 2-1. Colombia and Portugal played to a draw. Only one South American team actually lost to a European opponent across all seven matchups.

Europe holds 12 all-time World Cup titles compared to South America’s 10.