Hyperliquid’s prediction markets just crossed $80 million in daily trading volume for the first time. For a feature that launched barely two months ago, that’s the kind of number that makes competitors recalibrate their roadmaps.
The milestone comes from HIP-4, Hyperliquid’s binary outcome market framework that went live around May 2, 2026. It lets users trade on the outcomes of various events, from cryptocurrency price movements to macroeconomic indicators, all on-chain, all permissionless.
From perpetuals to predictions
When HIP-3 launched its mainnet on October 13, 2025, the first deployed market was XYZ100, a perpetual contract tracking roughly 100 non-financial US-listed companies. Within two weeks, by October 28, 2025, XYZ100 was already pulling in over $80 million in daily trading volume with approximately $70 million in open interest.
Deployers earned more than $100,000 in fees during that initial stretch. Launching a HIP-3 market requires staking a minimum of 500,000 HYPE, which was valued at around $25 million at the time. The fee structure splits revenue 50/50 between the protocol and the deployer.
