Greece could face a prolonged period of political uncertainty after the next national election if no party secures a parliamentary majority and coalition talks fail, according to current polling trends and party positions.
While the risk of an extended election cycle lasting beyond three months remains limited, it cannot be ruled out. Current data suggest that more than two electoral contests may be required if a government cannot be formed even after a second vote.
New Democracy remains well short of a clear path to self-sufficiency. Although polls place the party around 30%, it does not appear to have enough support to easily reach the 35-36% threshold that may be needed for a majority, depending on how many parties enter parliament.
That makes cooperation with other parties essential. Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis has said he would pursue cooperation if voters mandate it. Yet possible partners remain unclear. If ELAS emerges as the second-largest party, cooperation with New Democracy is considered impossible.
PASOK has also rejected coalition scenarios. Under those conditions, a second election would become highly likely.
