Key Takeaways from the ISW: US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that Russia and the United States did not reach any agreement to end Russia’s war in Ukraine during the August 2025 Alaska Summit. The Russian cognitive warfare narrative aimed at painting the Ukrainian frontlines as collapsing appears to have so far failed to persuade Ukraine’s partners to capitulate to Russia’s demands. Ukraine’s ongoing strike campaign against Russian refineries is exacerbating broader Russian inflationary pressures and complicating the Kremlin’s efforts to conduct expansionary monetary policy. The Russian military command likely continues to generate new formations on paper, but it remains unclear how or if Russia will be able to staff these formations to doctrinal endstrength. French authorities seized a Russian shadow fleet oil tanker on June 25. Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure within Russia. Russian forces launched one Iskander-M ballistic missile and 90 drones against Ukraine overnight. See the original here.JOIN US ON TELEGRAMFollow our coverage of the war on the @Kyivpost_official.