The Netherlands has punched its ticket to the Round of 32 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. After a commanding 5-1 victory over Sweden on June 20, the Dutch sit atop Group F with 4 points and are virtually guaranteed advancement regardless of what happens in their final group match against Tunisia on June 25.

For a nation that has reached the World Cup final three times, in 1974, 1978, and 2010, this isn’t exactly a surprise. But the question is seeding. Where the Netherlands finishes in Group F determines who they face in the Round of 32, and early projections suggest Morocco, the likely runner-up from Group C, could be waiting on the other side of the bracket.

From a shaky start to group dominance

The tournament didn’t begin with the kind of swagger you’d expect from the Dutch. Their opening match against Japan on June 14 ended in a 2-2 draw, a result that raised eyebrows given the Netherlands’ pedigree.

Then came Sweden. A 5-1 thrashing gave the Dutch a massive goal difference advantage in Group F, which features an expanded four-team structure including the Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia. The expanded 2026 format allows certain third-place teams to advance, which means the Dutch have multiple safety nets beneath them.