The US Men’s National Team has already done the hard part. Two wins from two games, first place in Group D secured, and a home crowd that’s only getting louder. Now comes the part that sounds easy but historically trips teams up: figuring out what to do when the result doesn’t matter.

The USMNT’s final group stage match against Türkiye on June 26 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, is what football people call a “dead rubber.” In English: neither team’s tournament fate hinges on the outcome. The US is through as group winners after beating Australia and Paraguay. Türkiye, meanwhile, has been eliminated, done in by the 2026 tournament’s new tiebreaker rules that prioritize head-to-head results over goal differential.

The Pochettino balancing act

Head coach Mauricio Pochettino now faces a decision that looks simple on paper but rarely is in practice. Rest your best players and risk killing the momentum you’ve spent two matches building. Or keep the starting lineup largely intact and risk injury or suspension right before the knockout rounds begin.

The yellow card math is particularly worth paying attention to. Players sitting on one caution from the group stage would miss the round of 32 entirely if they pick up another against Türkiye.