Argentina’s five-year exile from MSCI’s mainstream indexes could be nearing its end. The index provider is set to publish the results of its 2026 Global Market Accessibility Review on June 18, followed by its Annual Market Classification Review on June 23, and both carry enormous implications for the country’s capital markets.

At stake is whether Argentina gets upgraded from its current “standalone market” designation, the basement level of MSCI’s classification system, back to emerging market status. If the answer is yes, the consequences would be measured in billions.

What standalone status actually means

Argentina has been classified as a standalone market since November 2021. That’s when MSCI downgraded it from emerging market status after Buenos Aires implemented capital controls that made it effectively impossible for foreign investors to replicate the index.

The country had only just regained EM status in June 2018, with the change taking effect in May 2019, after previously being classified as a frontier market. That promotion lasted roughly two years before economic turbulence sent it tumbling back down, this time past frontier status entirely and into standalone territory.