There's a line usually pinned on the Roman philosopher Seneca: luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity. People put it all over social media and like most things on social media, it gets repeated so often that it stops meaning anything.

So let me try to make it mean something again, with a math equation and a football match that happened recently at the latest FIFA World Cup 2026.

The equation nobody writes down

We talk about luck like it's a single mysterious force, either you have it or you don't. But it's not one thing. It's two things multiplied together:

Luck = Preparation × Opportunities