Risk assets rallied sharply on Monday morning as a U.S.-Iran peace framework, a record-setting SpaceX IPO, and easing oil prices converged to push bitcoin past $66,600 and equity futures to session highs ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision.
The rally tracked closely with broad risk-on sentiment fueled by weekend geopolitical developments and the continued afterglow of SpaceX’s blockbuster Nasdaq debut.
President Donald Trump announced Sunday via Truth Social that “The Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete,” citing an immediate, toll-free reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the removal of the U.S. naval blockade on Iranian ports.
U.S. and Iranian officials, along with Pakistani mediators, confirmed they have reached an agreed text for a preliminary memorandum of understanding. The framework extends a ceasefire for 60 days, opens the Strait immediately, and defers nuclear program details to follow-on talks. A formal signing is targeted for Friday, June 19, in Switzerland.
The deal remains tentative. The full text has not been publicly released, Iranian hardliners have expressed opposition, and Israel has indicated it will not be bound by terms involving Lebanon. Former U.S. officials cautioned Monday that the agreement buys time for “long and tedious” nuclear negotiations rather than resolving core disputes.
