In the summer of 1956, a group of researchers gathered at Dartmouth College and wrote what is arguably the most confidently wrong sentence in the history of science:
"We propose that a 2-month, 10-man study of artificial intelligence be carried out... The study is to proceed on the basis of the conjecture that every aspect of learning or any other feature of intelligence can in principle be so precisely described that a machine can be made to simulate it."
Every aspect. In two months. Ten people.
They were not naive. They were the smartest researchers in the field. They looked at the trajectory of their results and made reasonable projections.
They were wrong by roughly 70 years.
