A Polymarket trader known as initial77a is risking more than $500,000 on the U.S. men’s national team to lose its World Cup opener against Paraguay on Friday night.

If the bet hits, the payout runs to roughly $972,000, according to a post from the platform’s official sports account.

A Half-Million-Dollar Bet Against The Hosts

The position pays out if the U.S. fails to win its opener in Los Angeles. A draw would also cash the ticket, so “lose” is the punchier framing than the literal one.

initial77a has logged 296 predictions and holds around $691,600 in open positions, and is up over $83,000.