Emily Nicolle, Ira Boudway and Carolyn SilvermanJun 23, 2026 – 10.28amNew York | The World Cup is turning prediction markets into a public ledger of million-dollar bets, exposing big wins and dramatic losses as the tournament attracts more money to the fast-growing industry.More than $US5 billion ($7.1 billion) has been traded on the World Cup across Polymarket’s international exchange and US-regulated Kalshi in 2026, according to a Bloomberg News analysis of Dune Analytics data and company records. The boom has produced multimillion-dollar winners and some painful losses, including a bet-gone-wrong on Belgium to beat Egypt that cost one Polymarket user nearly $US9 million ($13 million).BloombergSubscribe to gift this articleGift 5 articles to anyone you choose each month when you subscribe.Subscribe nowAlready a subscriber? Fetching latest articles
Punter loses $13m on World Cup match as prediction markets explode
The relative transparency of some prediction market exchanges shows the big wins and dramatic losses from wagers being placed on the mammoth tournament.
Polymarket and Kalshi traded over $5 billion in World Cup bets, with one user losing $9 million. The boom exposes unregulated infrastructure and leverage concentration, signaling systemic risks as decentralized finance platforms scale without compliance frameworks.














