The world’s largest bilateral trade relationship, worth roughly $1.5 trillion a year, is about to clear its biggest legislative hurdle in Europe. Bernd Lange, chair of the European Parliament’s trade committee, said on June 10 that the assembly’s upcoming vote on the US-EU trade deal is expected to pass with a clear majority.

Lange simultaneously flagged serious doubts about whether the US will actually hold up its end of the bargain.

The deal, hammered out at Trump’s Turnberry golf resort in July 2025, was designed to defuse an escalating tariff standoff between Washington and Brussels. The EU committed to reducing duties on a range of US imports, following frameworks that discussed a 15% tariff level.

A parliamentary committee already endorsed the implementing legislation in early June 2026, clearing the path for a plenary vote projected for the following week.

The reliability problem