A Qatari negotiating team arrived in Tehran on May 22 to help broker what could become the most consequential US-Iran agreement in years. The deal on the table touches everything from nuclear enrichment to shipping lanes, and crypto markets are already pricing in the optimism.
Bitcoin has climbed back to around $75,000, recovering from recent lows in the $74,000-$75,000 range, as prediction market odds for a peace deal surged to 37%.
What’s actually on the table
The negotiations involve some of the most senior figures in Iranian politics. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf are both part of the discussions, signaling that Tehran is treating this as a top-tier diplomatic event rather than a preliminary chat.
The proposed agreement covers several critical fronts. Reopening the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil passes daily, is a centerpiece. Lifting US port blockades is also in the mix.







