German industrial production edged higher in April for the first time since the outbreak of war in the Middle East, official data released Tuesday showed, though analysts warn the single-month gain masks a far grimmer underlying picture for Europe's largest economy.

According to Germany's federal statistics office, Destatis, output rose 0.4% in April from the previous month, driven mainly by construction.

The reading ends a losing streak dating back to last November, yet few are treating it as a turning point.

According to Carsten Brzeski, Global Head of Macro at ING, in a research note published Tuesday, the April figure is "simply too little" with output effectively stagnating across the first four months of 2026 and still running roughly 12% below pre-pandemic levels.

The headline number drew support from an encouraging jump in construction activity, which grew 2.4% month-on-month.