LIVE BLOG05 Jun 2026 | 11:29:43 AM ISTUS first quarter GDP growth revised down to 1.6% annual rate: GovernmentSynopsisIndia GDP Q4 FY26 Live Updates: India will release GDP and GVA data for the January-March quarter and full FY26 at 4 PM. Economists expect growth to moderate from Q3 levels amid weaker exports and industrial activity, though strong government spending, resilient services and agriculture are expected to keep FY26 growth robust.India GDP Q4 FY26 Live Updates: India is set to release its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Gross Value Added (GVA) figures for the January-March quarter (Q4 FY26) and the full financial year 2025-26 at 4 PM on Friday, offering the clearest picture yet of how the economy performed amid rising geopolitical tensions and global uncertainty.Economists broadly expect India's growth momentum to remain strong, although the pace is likely to have moderated from the previous quarter. A Reuters poll of 45 economists projected GDP growth of 7.2 per cent in Q4 FY26, lower than the 7.8 per cent expansion recorded in the preceding quarter. Gross Value Added (GVA), which excludes taxes and subsidies, is estimated to have risen 7.3 per cent.The GDP release comes at a time when India is navigating multiple external challenges, including elevated crude oil prices, weaker global demand, disruptions linked to the West Asia conflict, and higher tariffs imposed by the United States on Indian goods.Despite these headwinds, India continues to be viewed as the world's fastest-growing major economy. Economists expect government capital expenditure, resilient services activity, robust credit growth, healthy GST collections and improved agricultural performance to have supported growth during the quarter.Several forecasters expect FY26 growth to remain around 7.5 per cent. SBI has projected both Q4 growth and full-year FY26 growth at 7.2 per cent and 7.5 per cent respectively, while ICRA expects Q4 growth to come in at 7 per cent and full-year growth at 7.5 per cent.Manufacturing activity is expected to have slowed amid softer export demand and margin pressures, while services are likely to have remained a key driver of growth. Agriculture is also expected to have provided support due to improved output.The data assumes added significance because it will be only the second quarterly GDP release under the revised national accounts series, which shifted the base year to 2022-23 and introduced changes to estimation methodologies earlier this year.Investors, policymakers and businesses will closely watch the numbers for clues on the economy's trajectory as concerns over global growth, inflation and energy prices continue to shape the outlook for FY27. Show more Show less1 New UpdateIndia Q4 GDP FY26 Live: What factors supported growth during the quarter?India Q4 GDP FY26 Live Updates: Government spending, resilient services activity, strong credit growth, higher GST collections and improved agricultural performance are expected to have supported growth.India Q4 GDP FY26 Live: Why is Q4 FY26 growth expected to slow?India Q4 GDP FY26 Live Updates: Analysts point to weaker exports, softer industrial activity, slower manufacturing volumes, margin pressures and weakening external demand amid global disruptions.India Q4 GDP FY26 Live: What is the forecast for Gross Value Added (GVA)?India Q4 GDP FY26 Live Updates: Economists surveyed by Reuters expect GVA growth of around 7.3% in the March quarter.India Q4 GDP FY26 Live: What GDP growth are economists expecting for Q4 FY26?India Q4 GDP FY26 Live Updates: A Reuters poll of 45 economists forecasts GDP growth of 7.2% year-on-year in Q4 FY26, compared with 7.8% growth recorded in Q3.India Q4 GDP FY26 Live: When will India's GDP data for Q4 FY26 be released?India Q4 GDP FY26 Live Updates: The National Statistical Office (NSO) is scheduled to release GDP and GVA figures for the January-March quarter and the full FY26 financial year at 4 PM on Friday.