US equity futures are mixed as oil prices, bond yields, and USD move higher in response to the latest overnight attacks in the Middle East with no public progress on a deal. As reported previously, the US struck Iran’s Qeshm Island, which was then met with retaliatory Iranian strikes on US bases in Kuwait; explosions were also reported in Saudi Arabia, and air sirens were set off in the UAE. US Centcom said that the Iranian drone attacks were “successfully defeated.” As of 8:00am ET, S&P futures were down 0.1% but off session lows: absent the now daily gamma squeeze, the S&P is poised to halt a nine-day rally; Nasdaq futures rose 0.2% with semis bid premarket led by MRVL, INTC, AVGO, and AMD as Mag7 names are weaker. Some pockets of tech exuberance are seen in the US pre-market with Marvell adding 12% to Tuesday’s near 33% surge. Tech enthusiasm was once again on display in Asia with the MSCI APAC index hitting yet another record high. Mag7 have been used as a funding trade to buy Semis and to make room for deals, according to JPM. Cyclicals ex-Energy are lagging Defensives. Brent rose 2.3% to top $98 a barrel. The yield on 10-year Treasuries climbed four basis points to 4.48% as crude prices stoked concerns about inflationary pressures; the yield curve is bear flattening with yields up 3-4bp as USD is poised for its strongest week since mid-May. Data calendar includes May ADP employment change (8:15am), S&P Global US services PMI (9:45am), and April factory orders and May ISM services index (10am). Fed speaker slate includes Barr (9am) and Logan (4pm), and Beige Book is slated for 2pm release.In premarket trading, Magnificent Seven are mixed (Meta +0.6%, Apple -0.2%, Alphabet -0.7%, Amazon -0.05%, Nvidia +0.3%, Microsoft +0.2%, Tesla -0.7%)Cognyte Software (CGNT) slumps 21% after the Israeli company posted disappointing first quarter earnings.GameStop (GME) is up 13% after the video game retailer reported net sales for the first quarter of $835.3 million, marking a 14% increase from the year prior. The company also said its board approved a discretionary $2 billion share repurchase authorization.Iren Ltd. shares rise in premarket trading after it signed a transmission connection agreement to support a planned 800-megawatt data center campus in Bundey, South Australia.Macy’s (M) climbs 3% after the department-store operator boosted its adjusted earnings per share forecast for the full year.Marvell Technology (MRVL) gains 10%, putting the stock on track to extend Tuesday’s 33% rally, after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang predicted that the semiconductor and networking company would be the next business to hit a $1 trillion valuation.Medtronic (MDT) rises 2% after posting fourth quarter revenue that beat expectations.Palo Alto Networks (PANW) falls 2% after the security software company reported results following a 61% year-to-date rally.Sherwin-Williams (SHW) climbs 3% after the company and Nippon Paint abandoned efforts to acquire the Dutch paintmaker Akzo Nobel.Sprinklr (CXM) falls 3% after the software company trimmed its full-year revenue outlook.In other news, SpaceX plans to set the terms of its IPO offering as early as Wednesday afternoon, ahead of what’s expected to be the biggest ever listing. Reuters later reported that SpaceX aims to sell 555.6 million shares at $135 apiece. Uber set usage caps on some AI-powered tools used by its staff. The move, meant to manage costs after the company blew through its AI budget, may be a concern for investors tracking the explosive growth in the industry. GitLab is cutting about 14% of its workforce and exiting 22 countries as part of a restructuring aimed at streamlining operations and sharpening execution. Google must make changes to its AI-generated search summaries after the UK’s antitrust watchdog ordered it to give publishers more control over how their content is used.US stocks struggled to build on record gains as growing strains on the ceasefire between the US and Iran sent oil prices higher for a third straight day and lifted bond yields. The cautious mood in markets follows flare-ups in the Middle East that are testing a fragile truce between Washington and Tehran, with US forces intercepting ballistic missiles and drones aimed at neighboring countries and striking an Iranian command center in response. The mitigating factor is higher SoH throughput; According to JPM EM Strategy, energy export volume have risen to ~3.6mm bpd over the last 2 days with the 7dma ~2.5mm bpd and refined chemical throughput now >50% of pre-conflict levels. The OECD flags global growth downside risk from a prolonged US / Iran Conflict while hiking its inflation estimates.Trump said the US was continuing to work with Iran on a deal. Tehran has agreed it won’t have a nuclear weapon and the parties’ leaders “probably will meet at some point,” Trump said. Traders are watching whether the S&P 500 can extend its winning streak to the longest in more than three decades. A narrow rally has seen technology stocks, and chipmakers in particular, leave the rest of the market far behind.
Futures Drop, Yields And Oil Rise On Latest Middle East Hostilities
“I don’t think this is the top, there’s still room to run. The fuel is just quietly shifting from earnings to excitement; that’s fine on the way up, it only matters when the music stops.”
Iran-US tensions lift oil to $98/barrel, but Marvell surges 43% in two days on Jensen Huang's $1T valuation prediction. Mag7-to-semis funding rotation and $74.5B SpaceX IPO signal sustained institutional demand—key for enterprise chip capex decisions.















