Market Snapshot
Crude oil all-time-high markets are priced at 23.5% YES (September 30) and 28% YES (December 31). WTI $120 high scenarios for June sit at 16.5% YES, up from 11% a week ago.
Key Takeaways
Pricing appears consistent with growing YES-outcome support across crude oil all-time-high sub-markets following direct U.S.-Iran military exchanges in the Persian Gulf.
The WTI $20 low scenario for June suggests participants view a deep price collapse as highly unlikely, with that market priced at just 0.2% YES.






