There isn’t much small-sample randomness anymore. The Toronto Blue Jays (29-31) have played 60 games; they’re over one-third through the 2026 season, and we’ve got a pretty good idea of what this team is.Injured players can still return, hot streaks could occur and deficiencies may be addressed through trades, but it’s a good time to look at where the Jays stand. Here are six metrics that matter for Toronto:94 team wRC+If you’re looking for the biggest difference between the 2025 Blue Jays and this 2026 team, the offence is where it’s found. Last season, Toronto owned the fourth-best lineup in baseball by wRC+ (112). This year, the Blue Jays have slid to 23rd overall (94) with only three teams worse in the American League.George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Daulton Varsho, Tyler Heineman, Addison Barger and Nathan Lukes have all seen drops of at least 10 points in wRC+. Ernie Clement is the only returning regular who has delivered significant improvement at the plate.There are still reasons for hope. Toronto’s lineup didn’t start clicking until July and August last year, posting a wRC+ over 125 in those summer months. New additions like Jesús Sánchez, Yohendrick Piñango and Kazuma Okamoto have brought some power. But this lineup hasn’t been close to the same level as last year’s squad. They probably don’t need a top-five lineup with an improved pitching staff, but the Jays need to score more.+10 Fielding Run ValueLast year, the Jays led the majors with plus-45 fielding run value (FRV). In 2024, they led at plus-51. This season, they’ve slipped to seventh, with plus-10. A fall from first to seventh isn’t catastrophic and can be explained in part by the absence of key defenders like Nathan Lukes and Alejandro Kirk, but it’s not where the Jays want to be.“We’re still doing some things that are a little sloppy,” Kevin Gausman said last week. “Fundamentals, our defence hasn’t been as great as it has been shown that it can be.”At the end of Toronto’s last homestand, manager John Schneider said he believes the team is playing better defence lately, but the metrics don’t necessarily agree. Toronto posted plus-seven fielding run value (per Baseball Savant) in April. In the first half of May, they were worth plus-two and in the second half of the month down to minus-two. That’s a defensive slide that can’t continue. Unless the lineup really starts clicking, the Blue Jays don’t have the margin for error to allow sloppy hits and runs..623 May OPS for Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Guerrero finally found power in Baltimore, notching just his second and third extra-base hits of May against the Orioles. It capped off a month of struggle for the Blue Jays’ first baseman, who hit .232 with a .623 OPS. It was Guerrero’s worst full month, by OPS, since September of his 2019 rookie season.Guerrero’s struggles are obviously an issue. But so are steps back from Springer and Varsho. So are the injuries. But if Toronto’s offence is going to claw back to playoff-calibre, the $500 million man must elevate his game. We’ve seen Guerrero get hot out of nowhere before. He followed a relatively slow start last year with a dominant June and July. If six hits at Camden Yards are a sign of things to come, Toronto’s lineup centrepiece may be fine. The Jays need Guerrero to heat up eventually, and it doesn’t usually take this long.
With the Blue Jays through 60 games, here are 6 stats that matter
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s struggles are obviously an issue as he endured his worst month by OPS since his rookie season of 2019.
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