After months of live deployment with real pUSD, here’s the exact architecture behind a consistently profitable 5-minute prediction-market bot on Polymarket.

Core Alpha: Chainlink-Aware Dual-Phase Probability Edge

Every 5-minute Up/Down contract prices in crowd-implied probability (0–100¢).

Each YES share pays exactly $1 if the final Chainlink BTC/USD price ≥ starting price at expiry.

The edge is simple in theory, brutal in practice: