The IMD's latest model predicts a weaker monsoon onset over Kerala, with strong upper-level winds likely forming only after June 5-6 for intensified rainfall.
IMD delays Kerala monsoon beyond June 5-6, revising 2026 rainfall to 90% LPA due to El Niño emergence. Weak monsoon threatens water supply and cooling systems for India-based data centers and tech infrastructure.
A vigorous southwest monsoon may not establish until after June 5-6
Jun 02, 2026
10:20 am
What's the storyThe India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest weather model forecasts a delayed monsoon onset over Kerala.
The Global Forecast System (GFS), a sophisticated computer model, indicates that strong upper-level winds necessary for a vigorous southwest monsoon may not establish until after June 5-6.
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India's southwest monsoon is delayed, with official onset expected after June 5-6. While Kerala has seen some rain, the India…
There are two factors that are likely to cause a delay or a weak monsoon onset over Kerala - a typhoon and a cyclonic…
Monsoon is expected to arrive in Kerala on June 4, delayed from the original forecast of May 26.
The delayed monsoon is set to arrive in Kerala on June 4, bringing widespread rainfall, with very heavy downpours expected across…
IMD forecasts southwest monsoon to begin in Kerala on May 26, slightly earlier than the usual June 1 onset.
Though there has been rainfall recorded in several stations in Kerala between Sunday and Monday, the official criteria for…
