This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic’s latest Claude Opus 4.8 model, evaluated with adaptive reasoning and maximum effort settings, posted a leading 45.7% on Humanity’s Last Exam as of late May 2026, edging out Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and recent GPT-5 variants on the expert-level 2,500-question benchmark. This performance reflects ongoing gains in long-context reasoning and tool use across frontier large language models, though scores remain well below saturation and show meaningful variance depending on evaluation settings. Traders are watching for any further Claude updates, internal scaling improvements, or competitive releases from OpenAI and Google DeepMind before the June 30 resolution window, as incremental benchmark gains have historically accelerated in the final weeks of major model cycles.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 11:44 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
