This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. gasoline prices have averaged approximately $4.45 per gallon in late May 2026, supported by persistent global supply disruptions from the Iran conflict and ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February. These factors have elevated crude benchmarks and refined product costs, with the national average declining modestly from a mid-month peak near $4.56 amid some easing in market volatility. Abundant domestic inventories and seasonal maintenance at LNG facilities have tempered natural gas-linked pressures, while the shift into peak summer driving demand provides a modest upward bias. Weekly EIA storage data and any diplomatic developments on Middle East supply routes represent the key near-term catalysts as the market approaches resolution on May 31. Trader sentiment reflects these fundamentals through elevated implied probabilities around current levels.This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETVolume$184,528End DateMay 31, 2026Market OpenedApr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
