This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. natural gas prices near $3.00 per MMBtu reflect abundant domestic supply and subdued near-term demand as the market transitions into summer. Record-high Lower 48 production, supported by associated gas from oil plays like the Permian, combined with healthy storage builds during the shoulder season, continues to cap upside despite resilient LNG export volumes. Milder weather forecasts through the Memorial Day weekend have tempered cooling-driven power demand expectations, while the EIA’s May 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its annual Henry Hub average to $3.50 amid upward revisions to supply and consumption. Traders are monitoring any late-month heat spikes or inventory surprises that could shift the prompt-month contract ahead of expiration.This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETVolume$150,068End DateMay 31, 2026Market OpenedApr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
