From a household and property affordability perspective, an interest rate hold would offer the most immediate relief, giving consumers more time to adjust without further pressure from rising repayments.

As the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) Monetary Policy Committee announces its May interest rate decision on Thursday, the key concern is that households are already under financial pressure, with any increase likely to deepen the burden rather than create it, said Lee Naik, chief executive officer of TransUnion South Africa.

“This is no longer just a rate cycle; it is a broader affordability cycle,” Naik said.

“For homeowners and buyers, the focus must shift from what they can afford in bond repayments to what they can sustainably manage across their full monthly cost structure, including transport, utilities and food."

For tenants, landlords and investors, the environment points to continued pressure on affordability, which may influence rental growth, vacancy levels and pricing strategies, he said.