This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rodrigo Paz assumed Bolivia’s presidency on November 8, 2025, after a runoff victory that ended two decades of Movement for Socialism (MAS) dominance and marked the first time power changed hands via runoff. He inherited a severe economic crisis featuring fuel and dollar shortages plus high inflation, prompting early measures such as eliminating fuel subsidies, repealing several taxes, and cutting public spending by 30 percent. These steps produced short-term stabilization but triggered widespread backlash. As of mid-May 2026, violent protests and road blockades have disrupted La Paz amid renewed fuel shortages and economic hardship, testing the centrist government’s cohesion after vice-presidential rifts and mixed results in March subnational elections. Upcoming legislative sessions and any escalation in demonstrations could influence the duration of his term.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 11:21 PM ETVolume$23,437End DateJul 1, 2026Market OpenedMay 19, 2026, 11:21 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
