Imagine this scenario at your next sprint review meeting: You're looking good on your velocity graph. But half your team is struggling in their own little hell. Estimations have devolved into Russian roulette. You get a "2-point" done in 45 minutes. You have another "2-point" that takes 4 days because AI-written code introduced a nasty bug in staging that was missed.

This isn't an effort issue; it’s a problem of predictability. Story points, meant for predicting the performance of stable humans, don’t even know what to do with this situation.

I believe it’s time to ditch story points. Let me explain how.

Why I Think the Old System Is Defective

"Story points are a commitment to the idea 'that task is about twice as hard as this task.'" These assumptions include the following: