Donald Trump’s regime change playbook is entering its third chapter, even as the second chapter is still being written, rewritten and resisted in real time.

What began in a compound in Caracas, Venezuela – a path forged in darkness by American special forces and presidential ambition – wound its way to Tehran. Now, increasingly, it appears to be leading towards Havana, Cuba.

First came Venezuela: the extraordinary raid which removed Nicolás Maduro from power and transported him to the United States, where he entered the same prison that once housed figures like Jeffrey Epstein and Sean Combs.

Shorts

Then came Iran: a war launched with the language of speed and decisive victory, but which instead exposed the dangers of strategic overconfidence and a White House often bouncing between maximalist rhetoric and improvised diplomacy.