## Market Snapshot
The market for a “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30” is currently priced at 34% YES, up from 30% in the past 24 hours. The “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30” market remains at 6.7% YES, unchanged from the previous day.
## Key Takeaways
– Recent developments appear consistent with increased likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, as pricing rose from 30% to 34% YES. – The announcement of a US-Iran agreement does not affect the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market, which remains unchanged. – The negotiated agreement between the US and Iran suggests potential easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
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