Three quantum computing stocks surged with double-digit intraday gains after reports surfaced that the US Commerce Department is in discussions to provide federal funding to quantum firms in exchange for equity stakes. The companies at the center of the frenzy: IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum.

Here’s the thing. No deals have actually been confirmed. What exists, according to a Wall Street Journal report, are talks. Early-stage ones, at that. CNBC’s own reporting went further, noting that at least one source denied the existence of any firm arrangements. So what traders got excited about was essentially a government maybe-possibly-someday investing in quantum computing. The market, never one to wait for confirmation, ran with it anyway.

What the reports actually say

The Wall Street Journal reported that the Commerce Department is in discussions with IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum about a potential arrangement: federal dollars flowing into these companies in return for equity positions. Think of it as the government doing what venture capitalists do, buying a piece of the upside in exchange for writing a check, except the check would come from taxpayers.

Rigetti offered the closest thing to an on-the-record acknowledgment. The company said it is engaging with the US government on funding opportunities. But it stopped well short of confirming any equity deal. That’s a meaningful distinction. “Engaging on funding opportunities” could mean anything from a casual introductory meeting to an active term sheet negotiation.