8th January 2026
I joined a recording of the Oxide and Friends podcast on Tuesday to talk about 1, 3 and 6 year predictions for the tech industry. This is my second appearance on their annual predictions episode, you can see my predictions from January 2025 here. Here’s the page for this year’s episode, with options to listen in all of your favorite podcast apps or directly on YouTube.
Bryan Cantrill started the episode by declaring that he’s never been so unsure about what’s coming in the next year. I share that uncertainty—the significant advances in coding agents just in the last two months have left me certain that things will change significantly, but unclear as to what those changes will be.
Here are the predictions I shared in the episode.
1 year: It will become undeniable that LLMs write good code











