Survey: Why Ruto's 24pc lead in 2027 race is more a warning than a comfort

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President William Ruto. [File,Standard]

If elections were held today, President William Ruto would win with just 24 per cent support, a new poll shows, as a divided opposition fails to consolidate behind a single challenger.

The TIFA Research survey, conducted between May 2 and 11 among 2,013 selected Kenyan adults across all 47 counties, places Wiper Democratic Movement (WDM) leader Kalonzo Musyoka second at 19 per cent, former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i third at 14 per cent, Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna fourth at 10 per cent and impeached former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua fifth at nine per cent.

Ruto's 24 per cent marks his highest rating since TIFA began tracking presidential preferences in May 2025, when he stood at 18 per cent. Yet the figure also underlines the scale of work ahead.