https://arab.news/8ufnc

The war between the US and Iran has entered an ambiguous phase. While strikes still take place during the ceasefire, both sides are exchanging demands for the negotiations. Among the points raised by Iran is the recognition of its sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. And, while it denies that the US has any impact on the strait, it demands an end to the American naval restrictions on Iranian ports, plus guarantees for safe passage under Iranian control.

As we discuss Iran, I feel compelled to paraphrase something Saddam Hussein stated during the Iran-Iraq war, which was also the last time the Strait of Hormuz faced real navigational obstructions. Saddam stated that, if you take out your gun, it is not to threaten but to shoot and kill. Iran today, after decades of threatening to block the strait, has finally done so. Yet, despite the hurt inflicted on the global economy, it missed its shot. This weapon, whose use has been threatened for years and years, is finally out — but it has clearly been overpowered by the US.

Despite this, we are now in a difficult position. It is undeniable that the Iranian regime’s actions are a threat to the stability and future of both the Middle East and the world. Even if it is not a gun, it is a splinter adding pressure.