An exodus of workers will be damaging – and electoral change might help Britain escape instability and low growth
W
hile all eyes are on the Middle East and the risk of a global recession, a possible scenario with significant downside risk for the UK economy after the next general election is building: the impact of anti-immigration policies.
We do not know enough about the actual policy changes a Reform UK-led government would impose, but if we get forced repatriation (including of some who were born in Britain) combined with a climate of fear, the economic disruption could be highly significant.
The number of people affected by Reform UK’s policies is necessarily uncertain, but it has been estimated that the party might want at least 2 million people to leave the country, which is considerably higher than previous talk of deporting 600,000 people.
